GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jarosław · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Jarosław are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while KS Wieczysta Krakow II are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Jarosław hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Jarosław holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jarosław

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

10.6%

Jarosław has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JarosławLDWLD

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
KS Wieczysta Krakow IILLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
JarosławKS Wieczysta Krakow II
50.0Attack33.3
16.7Defence0.0
16.7Form0.0
31.3Power18.3
1.96xG1.44
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