Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jaiyq · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Jaiyq are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tobol 2 are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Jaiyq hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 28.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the 1. Division, while Jaiyq holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jaiyq
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Jaiyq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 12 · GA 20 · avg 2.40/4.00