Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Jaguares are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Santa Fe are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (35.9 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the Primera A, while Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00