Jaguaresvs
Once Caldas
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 8/9/2026, 11:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Jaguares are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Once Caldas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (35.9 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Primera A, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Once Caldas
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
13.1%
Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80