GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 4/2/2026, 11:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Millonarios · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Jaguares are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Millonarios are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Millonarios hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (35.9 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Primera A, while Millonarios holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Millonarios

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Millonarios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JaguaresLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MillonariosDWWLW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
JaguaresMillonarios
30.4Attack51.5
42.0Defence63.6
27.5Form48.5
35.9Power55.0
0.67xG1.73
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