Jaguaresvs
Atletico Nacional
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 8/2/2026, 8:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Jaguares are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atletico Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 32.9-point power-rating edge (35.9 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.6% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Nacional
Probability
74.6%
Model confidence
74.6%
Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00