JagielloniavsPogon Szczecin

Jagiellonia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pogon Szczecin are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Ekstraklasa, while Jagiellonia holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.