Jagielloniavs
Korona Kielce
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 7/25/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jagiellonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Jagiellonia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Korona Kielce are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia hold a 46.8-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Ekstraklasa, while Jagiellonia holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jagiellonia
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Jagiellonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60