GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wigry Suwałki · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Wigry Suwałki are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigry Suwałki hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Wigry Suwałki holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wigry Suwałki

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

14.0%

Wigry Suwałki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IIWDDWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Wigry SuwałkiWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Jagiellonia IIWigry Suwałki
48.0Attack45.1
46.1Defence62.7
44.1Form47.1
46.8Power52.8
1.16xG1.38
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