GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jacuipense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Jacuipense are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Atlético Alagoinhas are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Jacuipense hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 25.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the Serie D, while Jacuipense holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jacuipense

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

Jacuipense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JacuipenseLLLDD

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atlético AlagoinhasLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
JacuipenseAtlético Alagoinhas
36.1Attack16.7
52.8Defence33.3
38.9Form16.7
45.6Power25.3
1.64xG0.59
View match centre →