Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Izhevsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Izhevsk are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Ural II are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Izhevsk hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Second League - Group 4, while Izhevsk holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Izhevsk
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Izhevsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60