Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KDV · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Izhevsk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while KDV are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and KDV hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 70.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Second League - Group 4, while KDV holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KDV
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
12.2%
KDV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00