Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kyzyltash · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Izberbash are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Kyzyltash are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and kyzyltash hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (27.7 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely result in the Second League - Group 1, favouring Kyzyltash with 12.0% confidence, a 50% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kyzyltash
Probability
77.1%
Model confidence
12.0%
Kyzyltash has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60