Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hércules · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Izalco are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Hércules are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hércules hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Copa Presidente, while Hércules holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hércules
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Hércules has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00