Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Águila · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Izalco are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Águila are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Águila hold a 56.3-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 91.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the Copa Presidente, while Águila holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Águila
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Águila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.67
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80