Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iwaki · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Iwaki are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Imabari are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Iwaki hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the J2 League, while Iwaki holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Iwaki
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Iwaki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40