GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/26/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ivinhema are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Operario Ferroviario are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ivinhema hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IvinhemaLWWLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Operario FerroviarioDDDDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
IvinhemaOperario Ferroviario
33.3Attack30.0
52.4Defence60.0
40.5Form30.0
44.2Power41.8
0.87xG0.77
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