Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ivinhema are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while CRAC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and CRAC hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 32.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
32.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00