Ivinhemavs
ABECAT Ouvidorense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ivinhema are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while ABECAT Ouvidorense are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and ABECAT Ouvidorense hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20