Ituzaingóvs
Villa San Carlos
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 7/4/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ituzaingó are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Villa San Carlos are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Villa San Carlos hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (30.3 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80