ItuanovsFerroviária

Ituano are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ferroviária are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviária hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.