Itaquá Athletico ClubevsUniao Mogi

Itaquá Athletico Clube are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Uniao Mogi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Itaquá Athletico Clube hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (74.2 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Paulista Série B, while Itaquá Athletico Clube holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.