GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Itaquá Athletico Clube · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Itaquá Athletico Clube are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while America SP are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Itaquá Athletico Clube hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (74.2 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Paulista Série B, while Itaquá Athletico Clube holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Itaquá Athletico Clube

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Itaquá Athletico Clube has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Itaquá Athletico ClubeDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
America SPDWDWD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Itaquá Athletico ClubeAmerica SP
68.8Attack51.0
75.0Defence80.4
79.2Form66.7
74.2Power66.9
1.20xG0.72
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