GGOALVIO

Croatia · HNL · 8/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Istra 1961 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Istra 1961 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while NK Slaven Belupo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Istra 1961 hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the HNL, while Istra 1961 holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Istra 1961

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

12.5%

Istra 1961 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Istra 1961DLLDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NK Slaven BelupoLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Istra 1961NK Slaven Belupo
66.7Attack0.0
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power15.3
1.65xG1.28
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