Istra 1961vs
NK Slaven Belupo
SCHEDULEDCroatia · HNL · 8/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Istra 1961 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Istra 1961 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while NK Slaven Belupo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Istra 1961 hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the HNL, while Istra 1961 holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Istra 1961
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
12.5%
Istra 1961 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40