GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 3/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Istiqlol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Istiqlol are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sardor Tursunzoda are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Istiqlol hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 38.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Istiqlol holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Istiqlol

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

59.9%

Istiqlol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IstiqlolWWDWW

GF 21 · GA 4 · avg 4.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sardor TursunzodaWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
IstiqlolSardor Tursunzoda
38.5Attack47.6
89.7Defence38.1
71.8Form23.8
68.7Power38.2
1.69xG0.60
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