Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Istiqlol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Istiqlol are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ravshan are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Istiqlol hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (67.6 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.1% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Istiqlol holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Istiqlol
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
23.1%
Istiqlol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00