IstiqlolvsBarki Tajik

Istiqlol are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Barki Tajik are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Istiqlol hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Istiqlol holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.