Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iskra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Iskra are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Lovćen are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Iskra hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Iskra holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Iskra
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Iskra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80