GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 7/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tver · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Iskra Smolensk are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tver are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tver hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (29.3 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.2% in the Second League - Group 2, while Tver holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tver

Probability

58.2%

Model confidence

58.2%

Tver has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Iskra SmolenskLDDLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TverWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Iskra SmolenskTver
27.8Attack52.9
31.5Defence41.2
20.4Form37.3
29.3Power44.6
1.00xG2.08
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