Iskra Smolenskvs
Tver
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 7/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tver · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Iskra Smolensk are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tver are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tver hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (29.3 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.2% in the Second League - Group 2, while Tver holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tver
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Tver has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60