GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 8/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertanovo Moscow · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Iskra Smolensk are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Chertanovo Moscow are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertanovo Moscow hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (30.7 v 60.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.4% in the Second League - Group 2, while Chertanovo Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertanovo Moscow

Probability

74.3%

Model confidence

15.4%

Chertanovo Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Iskra SmolenskLLDLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chertanovo MoscowDLLDD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Iskra SmolenskChertanovo Moscow
29.4Attack56.9
33.3Defence66.7
21.6Form56.9
30.7Power60.7
0.58xG2.27
View match centre →