GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 5/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yelimay Semey · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Irtysh are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Yelimay Semey are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Yelimay Semey hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Premier League, while Yelimay Semey holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yelimay Semey

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

14.4%

Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IrtyshLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yelimay SemeyLLLDD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IrtyshYelimay Semey
33.3Attack48.3
53.3Defence60.0
28.3Form51.7
41.3Power55.2
0.82xG1.29
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