Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Irtysh are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kaisar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaisar hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00