GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 8/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Irtysh · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Irtysh are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FK Tobol Kostanay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Tobol Kostanay hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.5% in the Premier League, while Irtysh holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Irtysh

Probability

34.9%

Model confidence

16.5%

Irtysh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IrtyshLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK Tobol KostanayLLDWD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
IrtyshFK Tobol Kostanay
33.3Attack35.0
53.3Defence53.3
28.3Form36.7
41.3Power43.8
0.99xG0.90
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