Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Irtysh · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Irtysh are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Altay are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Irtysh hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Premier League, while Irtysh holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Irtysh
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Irtysh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60