GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sevastopol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Irtysh Omsk are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sevastopol are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sevastopol hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sevastopol holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sevastopol

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Sevastopol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Irtysh OmskDDDWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SevastopolDWDWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Irtysh OmskSevastopol
61.1Attack100.0
33.3Defence55.6
44.4Form77.8
46.0Power77.5
1.77xG2.39
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