GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 8/6/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IR Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

IR Reykjavik are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ægir are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and IR Reykjavik hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 24.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely result in the 1. Deild, favouring IR Reykjavik with 8.1% confidence, a 78% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IR Reykjavik

Probability

69.2%

Model confidence

8.1%

IR Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IR ReykjavikWDLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ÆgirLLLLL

GF 7 · GA 23 · avg 1.40/4.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IR ReykjavikÆgir
58.8Attack41.2
25.5Defence9.8
37.3Form15.7
42.1Power24.7
3.60xG1.64
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