GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 7/3/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Afturelding · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

IR Reykjavik are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Afturelding are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Afturelding hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (41.1 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the 1. Deild, while Afturelding holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Afturelding

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

Afturelding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IR ReykjavikLDWLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AftureldingWWLLW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IR ReykjavikAfturelding
55.6Attack100.0
27.8Defence43.1
35.2Form68.6
41.1Power68.0
1.93xG3.88
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