Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ipswich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ipswich are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Le Havre are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ipswich hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ipswich holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ipswich
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Ipswich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00