Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ipswich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Ipswich are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Capalaba are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and ipswich hold a 31.9-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely result in the Queensland Premier League, favouring Ipswich with 11.8% confidence, a 52% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ipswich
Probability
84.9%
Model confidence
11.8%
Ipswich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40