GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ipatinga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Uberlandia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Uberlandia hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IpatingaWWDLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
UberlandiaWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IpatingaUberlandia
35.7Attack43.1
66.7Defence74.5
50.0Form62.7
52.1Power62.6
0.57xG0.81
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