Ipatingavs
Uberlandia
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ipatinga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Uberlandia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Uberlandia hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40