GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 6/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ipatinga are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Operario Ferroviario are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ipatinga hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IpatingaLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Operario FerroviarioWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IpatingaOperario Ferroviario
35.7Attack30.0
66.7Defence60.0
50.0Form30.0
52.1Power41.8
0.95xG0.53
View match centre →