GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ipatinga are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while ABECAT Ouvidorense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Ipatinga hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IpatingaDLDWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
ABECAT OuvidorenseLDDWL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
IpatingaABECAT Ouvidorense
35.7Attack26.7
66.7Defence70.0
50.0Form40.0
52.1Power47.9
0.70xG0.48
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