Internacionalvs
Sao Paulo
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 4/1/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Internacional are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sao Paulo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Paulo hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 49.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60