Internacionalvs
Cruzeiro
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 7/23/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Internacional are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cruzeiro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruzeiro hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00