Colombia · Primera A · 8/16/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Medellin · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Internacional de Bogota are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Primera A, while Independiente Medellin holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente Medellin
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
13.4%
Independiente Medellin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40