GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SalPa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Inter Turku II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while SalPa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SalPa hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (37.4 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Ykkönen, while SalPa holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SalPa

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

SalPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inter Turku IILWLDD

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SalPaWDDWL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Inter Turku IISalPa
52.6Attack59.6
21.1Defence45.6
35.1Form52.6
37.4Power53.1
1.80xG2.76
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