GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Highconfidence

Inter Miami are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter Miami hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (63.1 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Inter Miami holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inter Miami

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

57.6%

Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inter MiamiWWLDW

GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Portland TimbersDWLWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Inter MiamiPortland Timbers
80.7Attack61.1
36.8Defence38.9
66.7Form44.4
63.1Power48.4
3.35xG2.04
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