GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/11/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Inter Miami are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while New York Red Bulls are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter Miami hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (63.1 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Inter Miami holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inter Miami

Probability

68.9%

Model confidence

68.9%

Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inter MiamiDWDWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
New York Red BullsWLDLW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Inter MiamiNew York Red Bulls
80.7Attack53.7
36.8Defence27.8
66.7Form46.3
63.1Power45.0
3.98xG1.78
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