Inter Miamivs
Leon
COMPLETEDWorld · Leagues Cup · 8/12/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Inter Miami are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Leon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Leon hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Leagues Cup, while Leon holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leon
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
11.8%
Leon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00