GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Inter Miami are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter Miami hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (66.6 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Inter Miami holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inter Miami

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

7.4%

Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inter MiamiWWWWL

GF 20 · GA 13 · avg 4.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chicago FireWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
83.3Attack62.7
40.7Defence54.9
70.4Form56.9
66.6Power58.6
2.49xG2.00
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