Inter Miamivs
Chicago Fire
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 7/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Inter Miami are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter Miami hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (66.6 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Inter Miami holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Inter Miami
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
7.4%
Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 13 · avg 4.00/2.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60